Is this a good time to buy a commercial property?
October 26th, 2008Is this a good time to buy a commercial real estate property?
Many people ask me this question and the answer is always the same: “You are not buying the whole market. You are buying a specific property in a specific market”. And no matter the market, the most important factors for success remain the same. The correct reasons for buying a commercial income producing property have nothing to do with the local comparable sales like residential real estate investing; they have everything to do with the size of the income and quality of the Tenant along with the lease and terms that go along with the deal.
In commercial investing you are the buying future streams of income that will be produced by the asset. So your success is almost guaranteed if you focus on answering the following questions during your due diligence:
1) How much is the property producing in net income?
2) How safe is the income? (Based on the Tenant)
3) For how long should I expect to receive that income? (Based on the Lease)
4) How much will the financing cost me? (Based on the Bank)
5) How easy will it be for me to keep the property? (Is the lease NNN- do I have deferred maintenance to deal with?)
6) How much positive cash flow will I make?
7) What is the potential for a higher and better use for the property? (Now and in the future?)
8) What other deals are out there? (To have an alternative option for the use of my resources)
9) Will I still have some money left over for cash reserves?
If you know how to go through these questions and based on your training can answer them with a high degree of certainty, then the market in general is absolutely irrelevant.
An untrained person looks at general data like “office space” occupancy levels in a city, and he/she sees that the number of vacancies have increased statistically so he/she panics before even looking at a specific property and who is renting, what is the asking price, what is the potential is etc.
I always say news is how you perceive it based on your mental models.
I find it a lot more predictable and accurate to forecast long streams of income on a commercial property with a quality Tenant who signed a long term lease with specific escalations than trying to speculate on a stock market fundamentals or futures, commodities, currencies, or residential cyclical investing.
What never ceases to amaze me is how little competition there is in commercial real estate worldwide. Most people are untrained and have no business model for this type of safe investing so they lose money in so many other ventures that are unpredictable or cyclical based on general market and political events.
On August 8, 2008, I bought a mix use property. It has 6 vacant apartments on the top levels and a leased space on the ground floor. I bought it because the leased space pays for the entire property.
I looked at the income first versus the asking price, it looked great. I immediately checked the background of the existing Tenant and reviewed the lease. It all looked great and I couldn’t wait to close on the deal.
The Tenant leasing the space downstairs is a Korean company with millions of dollars in import export transactions yearly. Very solid balance sheet and they paid one full year to the previous owner as a deposit.
I bought the property for $1,900,000.
The Korean company pays $16,000 a month rent NNN (with 3% yearly escalations) and my payment is $13,000. I net $3,000 but I have to pay for the insurance portion and tax portion on the 6 apartments upstairs and they add up to approximately an additional monthly expense including cash reserves $2,000/mo.
I placed no money down, because I got a loan at 85% LTV and gave the bank extra collateral of another property I own with equity. The seller carried 15% note with 7% interest payments and he paid closing costs.
Some of you maybe thinking: All this hassle for just $1,000 a month in income?
There is no hassle whatsoever, this is a NNN lease. Every month I receive the rent directly deposited into my bank account. This reduces my debt, so I am building equity. I have 6 apartments that I can rent approximately $600 a month each (they are rather small but in good condition) if I furnish them I can collect even more. But I prefer to do what the city planning and zoning department has already approved, which is split them into separate units to sell them for approximately $250,000 each.
You probably wonder, is the seller crazy? No. He wanted to sell asap to get into a great mall with his family members. The mall is a $12,000,0000 and has only two Tenants:
Walmart and Walgreens. How about that for solid companies and long term steady increasing income? The cap rate, he said was fantastic and he wanted to go into his deal with the family as quickly as possible so he was extra flexible on our deal.
How do good deals like this happen? It is a matter of training and exposure. The question is: Are you trained? Are you making offers? Are you looking or posting deals on line?
Many people are scared to start their first deal because they want the economy to turn around first! They want everything to be 100% clear before moving forward. That is almost impossible. The picture gets clearer as you advance not the other way around. . Success comes when you start making offers, talking to sellers, looking at incomes, verifying the Tenants capacities and prices of assets.
Let the numbers speak for themselves, and am not talking about the numbers of the whole market or economy in general. That will confuse you and paralyze you. Only amateurs get lost in the generality and the chaos of big numbers. I am talking about a specific property, in a specific market. So be specific, be bold, be good, be rich and be free….
Wishing you the best all the time in any market
Cherif Medawar
ICRE, Founder
